How Oregon, Utah or Washington Can Win a Date With USC in the 2022 Pac-12 Football Championship Game ~| Washington

No. 6 USC became the first team to secure a berth in the 2022 Pac-12 Football Championship Game last week when they defeated crosstown rivals UCLA and clinched a top-two finish with an 8-1 record in of the Conference secured.

Who will the Trojans meet in Las Vegas on December 2nd? It depends on how the last week of the regular season turns out. No. 9 Oregon, No. 13 Washington and No. 14 Utah are still in contention for second place, although the Ducks control their own destiny with their 7-1 Pac-12 record. Washington and Utah are both 6-2.

Here are the clinch scenarios for all three teams. (Remember to go to Pac-12.com/Tickets to buy tickets for the 2022 Pac-12 Football Championship Game!)

Oregon needs…

A win over Oregon State OR a loss by Washington to secure his place in the FCG. Should Oregon beat OSU, it would be the home team against USC.

Washington needs…

A win against Washington State AND an Oregon State victory AND either a Cal win over UCLA OR both a UCLA win over Cal AND a Colorado victory over Utah.

Utah needs…

A victory over Colorado AND an Oregon State victory over Oregon AND a Washington win over Washington State (to create a 3-way tie at 7-2) AND a UCLA win over Cal to give the Utes the tiebreaker over Oregon and Washington. Utah would win the three-team tiebreaker due to its strong conference record.

A Cal win over UCLA on Friday would eliminate the Utes before they take the field against the Buffaloes on Saturday.

For a refresher, here are the Pac-12’s tiebreak procedures:

Two-team tie

  1. If two teams share first place, both teams participate in the championship game and the winner of the head-to-head race is the No. 1 seed. If there is no tie for first place but two teams for second place, the two-team tiebreaker policy applies and the winner is the #2 seeded team and the visiting team.
    1. If there is no tied game between the two teams, or if that game ends in a draw, the following tie procedure will apply.
  2. Win percentage against the next highest ranked common opponent in standings (based on record in all games played within the conference) and goes through standings.
    1. If you get to a different group of tied teams when comparing records, use each team’s win percentage against the collective tied teams as a group (prior to that group’s own tiebreak procedure), rather than performance against individual tied teams.
  3. Win percentage against all major conference opponents.
  4. Combined winning percentage in conference games by conference opponents (ie strength of conference schedule).
  5. Total wins in a 12-game season. The following conditions apply to the calculation of the total winning number:
    1. Only one win per year against a team from the NCAA Football Championship subdivision or lower division will be counted.
    2. All games excluded from counting towards the annual maximum number of football competitions under NCAA rules. (current statute 17.10.5.2.1) are not included.
  6. Highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team rating score metric) after the final weekend of regular season games.
  7. coin toss

Draw between several teams

In the event of a tie between more than two teams, the procedure is as follows. After one team has an advantage and is “seed”, all remaining teams in the multi-team tiebreaker repeat the multi-team tiebreaker procedure. If at any point the tie between multiple teams is reduced to two teams, the two-team tie-breaking procedure will apply.

  1. Head-to-Head (best cumulative win percentage in games between the tied teams). If not every tied team played each other, continue to step 2.
  2. Win percentage against all common conference opponents (must be common to all teams involved in the tie)
  3. Record against next highest ranked common opponent in standings (based on record in all games played within the conference) to progress through standings.
    1. If you get to a different group of tied teams when comparing records, use each team’s win percentage against the collective tied teams as a group (prior to that group’s own tiebreak procedure), rather than performance against individual tied teams.
  4. Combined winning percentage in conference games by conference opponents (i.e. strength of conference schedule)
  5. Highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team rating score metric) after the final weekend of regular season games.
  6. coin toss

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